Advay Gupta
Advay’s rating shows after 20 trades a broker, Optix Paper or the challenge filled.
How Advay tradesswing trade RDDT
product of decisions
On Optix since Oct 2026
Forecast score. Your chances against the market’s, rated on their own. Predictions and Matches entries count here, and so does every trade’s chance. 1 of 20
Rating, last 90 days
Grades, worst first · 3 theses
Grades judge the decision. Advay’s rating also checks whether their chance beat the market’s.
1 follower
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Activity
Theses per day, last 26 weeks.
What stands out
Nothing stands out yet about how Advay decides.
Advay’s theses
Open first, then newest. Disagree with one? Challenge it with your own chance. Nothing is copied.
None that came true yet.
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Advay’s five scores
Each out of 100.
- Prediction. Do your chances beat the market’s? 50 = even with it.49/100
- Trade choice. Did you pick the best-fit trade for your thesis?100/100
- Entry price. Did you buy near the fair price?50/100
- Risk. Did you risk the suggested amount, or less, and keep your losses inside your limits?60/100
- Depth. How much your record covers: counted theses, different stocks and events, months and kinds of trade.12/100
Prediction vs the market
Edge gets a verdict after 20 counted theses. Advay has 1.
- Advay’s score
- 58
- Market’s score
- 94
- Edge. How much closer your chances land than the market’s, on average. Above 0 means you beat it.
- −36.4
Prediction score. How close your chance landed to what happened, from 0 to 100. Higher is better.: how close each chance landed to what happened, out of 100. Saying 50% every time scores 75.
Details
Edge −36.4 ± 0.0 over 1 counted thesis. The ± is a 95% range: the edge likely sits inside it.
Edge counts theses on the same event once, so it can differ a little from the gap between the two scores.
Show the math
Prediction score = 100 − 100 × Brier score. Brier is the squared gap between a chance and what happened (1 if it did, 0 if not).
On 1 thesis with a market price: Brier 0.423 for Advay, 0.059 for the market. Edge is the market’s Brier minus theirs, × 100, averaged with same-event theses counted once.
Said vs. happened. When you say 70%, does it happen about 70% of the time?
1 of 5
Shows once 5 of Advay’s theses with a chance are graded.