Advay’s rating shows after 20 trades a broker, Optix Paper or the challenge filled.
How Advay tradesswing trade RDDT
product of decisions
On Optix since Oct 2026
Forecast score. Your chances against the market’s, rated on their own. Predictions and Matches entries count here, and so does every trade’s chance. 1 of 20
Rating, last 90 days
Grades, worst first · 3 theses
Grades judge the decision. Advay’s rating also checks whether their chance beat the market’s.
1 follower
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Theses per day, last 26 weeks.
Nothing stands out yet about how Advay decides.
Open first, then newest. Disagree with one? Challenge it with your own chance. Nothing is copied.
Written Oct 26 · deadline Oct 30
“Coca cola beats earnings today and rallies by tomorrow”
Advay said 65%. The market said 24% then.
Each out of 100.
Edge gets a verdict after 20 counted theses. Advay has 1.
Prediction score. How close your chance landed to what happened, from 0 to 100. Higher is better.: how close each chance landed to what happened, out of 100. Saying 50% every time scores 75.
Edge −36.4 ± 0.0 over 1 counted thesis. The ± is a 95% range: the edge likely sits inside it.
Edge counts theses on the same event once, so it can differ a little from the gap between the two scores.
Prediction score = 100 − 100 × Brier score. Brier is the squared gap between a chance and what happened (1 if it did, 0 if not).
On 1 thesis with a market price: Brier 0.423 for Advay, 0.059 for the market. Edge is the market’s Brier minus theirs, × 100, averaged with same-event theses counted once.
1 of 5
Shows once 5 of Advay’s theses with a chance are graded.